Top NFL Sports Handicappers! Who To Follow in the NFL in 2023!

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Who To Follow in College Football 2023!

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Jeff's 2023-24 ACC Football Spotlight Team

Author: Jeff Hochman
Published: 2023-07-13

Jeff’s 2023-24 ACC Football Spotlight Team

Miami Hurricanes Over 7.5 (+130)

Miami Hurricanes Under 7.5 (-145)

Miami Hurricanes to Win Conference (+2500)

Miami Hurricanes to Win CFB Championship (+16000)

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The Miami Hurricanes, led by head coach Mario Cristobal, are expected to make a strong comeback in the upcoming 2023-24 ACC season. The team has enlisted Shannon Dawson as their new offensive coordinator. Despite a disappointing 5-7 record (3-5 in ACC) last season, they have considerably improved their roster by recruiting new talent and utilizing the transfer portal. Coach Cristobal's focus on developing players and planning strategic games will positively impact the team's performance.

A notable player returning to the team is Tyler Van Dyke, a fourth-year junior quarterback. His quick decision-making skills and strong throwing arm could lead the offense to victory. Standing tall at 6'4" and weighing 225 pounds, Van Dyke threw for 1,844 yards and ten touchdowns, completing 63.2% of his passes. He did miss parts of six games due to various injuries.

The Miami Hurricanes have faced challenges in recent seasons, with inconsistencies on both offense and defense. However, this year's team has shown promise in addressing these weaknesses. The coaching staff has worked to improve the protection and implement a new pass-focused offense. With this new strategy, opposing teams may need time to adjust, giving Miami an advantage and potentially leading to a solid start to the season. Shannon Dawson is joining as the new offensive coordinator and bringing an Air Raid offense to Coral Gables. This system is beneficial for both quarterbacks and receivers. Less than two years ago, Van Dyke won ACC Rookie of the Year after throwing for 2,931 yards and 26 touchdowns. With Dawson's help, he can get back on track.

Last season, the Hurricanes' offensive line had some struggles that resulted in inconsistent pass protection. They ranked No. 113 in sacks allowed per game (an average of 3.3). However, they did a good job creating opportunities for the run game and are expected to improve even more. Surprisingly, the overall ranking for the Hurricanes' offensive line was No. 47. There is potential for the offensive line to become an elite unit. On the other hand, Miami's defense had some solid performances but often crumpled in the fourth quarter. They ranked No. 65 in yards allowed per game (376.5), which was better than the league average.

Miami football is experiencing renewed optimism with an improved roster and talented recruits joining the team. The Hurricanes are determined to overcome previous setbacks and make a statement in ACC play. Miami's special teams unit was ranked in the Top 30 last season and looks just as good, if not better, in 2023. However, Miami must address the concern of replacing both starting cornerbacks. On a positive note, Miami has a returning All-American, safety Kamren Kinchens, to lead a group with high-end talent and anchor the defense. Kinchens is likely to head to the NFL after this season, marking the first time Miami has had a returning All-American since 2006.

They certainly have not been a stranger to safeties going high either, with the likes of Bennie Blades (1988 3rd overall, Detroit Lions), Ed Reed (2002 24th overall, Baltimore Ravens), and Sean Taylor (2004 5th overall, Washington Redskins) being just a few of the truly elite safeties that have played for the Canes.

Many people will closely watch their performance as the Miami team prepares for the upcoming season. With their recent changes and improvements, they have the potential to compete at a high level within the NCAAF's ACC conference if they focus on their strengths and weaknesses. Coach Cristobal's second season with the team is expected to be a great help, as he improved significantly in his second season at his last two coaching positions (FIU & Oregon). Although the Hurricanes are relatively young, their predicted win total seems too low not to consider betting on the over at plus money.

My Selection: Miami Hurricanes Over 7.5 +130

Twitter: @JHSPORTSLINE

Jeff's 2023-24 Big 12 Spotlight Team

Author: Jeff Hochman
Published: 2023-07-13

Jeff’s 2023-24 Big 12 Spotlight Team

Oklahoma Sooners Over 9.5 (-110)

Oklahoma Sooners Under 9.5 (-110)

Oklahoma Sooners to Win Conference (+325)

Oklahoma Sooners to Win CFB Championship (+6600)

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In his debut season as head coach, Brent Venables faced a tough start as the Oklahoma Sooners ended with a 6-6 record and lost to Florida State in the Cheez-It Bowl. The Sooners struggled in the Big 12, finishing with a dismal 3-6 record, their worst since 1997 when they had a 2-6 mark. The 2023 season for the Sooners is set to begin on September 2nd with a game against Arkansas State in Norman, OK. The team will then play another home game against South Carolina on September 9th. Their first Big 12 game of the season will be against the Bearcats at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati on September 23rd. Please refer to the back end of this article to see my selections.

The offensive line will likely be a strong unit for the Sooners this year, with solid depth and Walter Rouse joining as the left tackle. Last season, Oklahoma had the seventh-best offensive line in the country, showcasing their exceptional skills in protecting the quarterback and creating holes for their running backs. Looking ahead to the 2023 season, Oklahoma has a solid foundation that promises great things. The team has an impressive offensive line, and they can count on Dillon Gabriel, one of the top quarterbacks in the highly competitive Big 12 conference. Gabriel's decision to return for another year is fantastic news for the Sooners, as it provides stability and proven leadership to their offense.

Gabriel's outstanding accomplishments are due to his exceptional work ethic and playmaking abilities, which sets him apart from other quarterbacks in the conference. He consistently delivers impressive results both on and off the field. Compared to his competitors in the Big 12, who are struggling to maintain their previous performance levels, Gabriel's star continues to rise, solidifying his position as one of the top QBs in the conference. In his first season with Oklahoma, the QB threw for 3,168 yards and 25 touchdowns. Additionally, he ran for 315 yards and scored six more touchdowns. Dillon Gabriel, who transferred from Central Florida, was honored as the Big 12 Offensive Newcomer of the Year.

Oklahoma's defense struggled last season, allowing an average of 30 points per game, which ranked them No. 99 in the country. Their overall defense was ranked No. 122, better than only nine other teams. They suffered a devastating 49-0 loss to Texas in the Red River Rivalry, the worst defeat in the school’s history. Additionally, opponents scored 40 or more points on the Sooners five times. Not good! Last season, the Special Teams could have done better. However, there is a chance for improvement by adding new talent from the transfer portal. Despite the team's No. 52 ranking from last season, I have high hopes for the future of the defensive line. The addition of talented recruits can bring about significant growth on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball.

Looking at the Big 12 expansion, the schedule is less challenging for the Sooners as they won't have to face Kansas State and Texas Tech, who defeated them last year. The team has a promising outlook for the 2023 season with a strong recruiting class and seven returning starters on offense and defense, indicating a potential significant rebound. Just a reminder, the Sooners experienced defeat in five games last season, all of which were decided by a single possession. A progression to the Mean will likely occur.

Led by the exceptional Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma dominated the Big 12 Championship in 2020 with a remarkable record of 9-2. They emerged victorious in the Cotton Bowl against Florida as well. The team is fully committed to proving that their previous season's lack of success was just a fluke. Their unwavering focus is on the upcoming 2023 season, and they are determined to secure a spot in the Big 12 Conference Title game. Anything less than that would be considered unacceptable.

My Selections: Oklahoma Sooners Over 9.5 (-110) & Oklahoma to Win Conference (+325)

Twitter:@JHSPORTSLINE

Jeff’s 2023-24 NCAA Big Ten Football Spotlight Team

Author: Jeff Hochman
Published: 2023-07-12

Jeff’s 2023-24 NCAA Big Ten Football Spotlight Team

Penn State Nittany Lions Over 9.5 (-130)

Penn State Nittany Lions Under 9.5 (+115)

Penn State To Win Conference (+575)

Penn State To Make Playoffs (+450)

Penn State To Win CFB Championship (+2100)

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In the upcoming 2023-24 college football season, Penn State is a team to watch out for in the Big Ten conference. With a history of successful seasons (except for the Covid year), the Nittany Lions are poised to keep their momentum strong. Their rising star quarterback, Drew Allar, is set to enter his sophomore season, standing at 6'5" and weighing 245 pounds. He has already proven himself with impressive performances in his limited appearances last season. The backfield is equally remarkable, with Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen forming a formidable duo, each perfectly complementing the other's skills and abilities. And let's remember the offensive line, generating some serious buzz with Olu Fashanu dominating on the left side. Overall, it's clear that Penn State is a force to be reckoned with and will make some serious waves in the upcoming season.

The team is full of talented players, which means they have the potential to be very successful. Head coach James Franklin is leading them and is sure to help them achieve great things. James has been a coach for 28 years, with experience coaching at both collegiate and NFL levels. He has led his teams to a bowl game in 11 out of their first 12 seasons, a feat only six current FBS coaches can claim. He has also led Penn State to four New Year's Six bowls, which is impressive.

Last season, Penn State's pass efficiency defense was exceptional, ranking as the second-best in the nation. Not only that, but their ranking of No. 5 for yards allowed per attempt is truly impressive. The Big 10 recognizes Kalen King and Johnny Dixon as two of the top defensive backs in the nation. It's always exciting to witness talented, young athletes elevating their skills to the next level. Senior Keaton Ellis and junior Jaylen Reed are no exception. After years of refining their abilities, these exceptional players are on the brink of making their dreams of playing professionally on Sundays a reality.

Despite losing some important players like cornerback Joey Porter Jr. and safety Ji'Ayir Brown, the Nittany Lions are expected to have an outstanding defense in the Big Ten. Standout players like linebacker Abdul Carter and defensive ends Adisa Isaac and Chop Robinson will lead Penn State's defense, which will undoubtedly be a formidable force this season, under the guidance of second-year Defensive Coordinator Manny Diaz.

Penn State is gearing up for the 2023 season with a promising group of recruits. Among them are four-star players such as Drew Shelton, an offensive tackle, and Dani Dennis-Sutton, a defensive end. Their arrival will bolster the already impressive roster of the Nittany Lions, adding depth and talent to the team.

According to the strength of schedule rankings, Penn State plays the 90th most formidable schedule out of 133 FBS programs. With their promising non-conference schedule, talented returning roster, and strong recruiting class, they have what it takes to exceed expectations and win more than 9.5 games this season. For those interested in sports betting, it may be worth considering a wager on the Nittany Lions to surpass 9.5 wins at -130 odds, which could result in significant returns.

My Selection: Penn State Over 9.5 Wins (-130)

Twitter: @JHSPORTSLINE

Betting The NFL Preseason In 2023

Author: Jeff Hochman
Published: 2023-07-11

By Jeff Hochman

The Hall of Fame Game marks the start of the NFL preseason and concludes the yearly Hall of Fame enshrinement celebrations. On Thursday, August 3rd, at 8 p.m. ET, the Cleveland Browns will face off against the New York Jets. This is the first time the Browns have participated in the Hall of Fame Game since their win against the Dallas Cowboys in 1999. The Jets last played a game in 1992, where they emerged victorious against the Philadelphia Eagles with a score of 41-14.


Some individuals may advise against betting on NFL preseason games, but this is a misconception. Predicting the outcome of preseason games can be easier than regular-season matchups. This is because you can often anticipate each team's specific game plan. However, winning is never a guarantee, and bettors should always look for potential advantages. Betting on NFL preseason games can be a great way to build your bankroll for the upcoming regular season. To help you get started, I've compiled my list of vital statistics, systems, angles, and teams to consider when betting on the NFL preseason in 2023. Last year, I had a perfect 3-0 record in the NFL preseason.

 

Depth


This one is obvious. It's crucial to remember that during the preseason, the starters and skill position players on specific teams are the same as during the regular season. Teams with depth at the skill positions have an advantage over clubs that rely heavily on a few star players who may only play for a short time. The Cincinnati Bengals are a prime example of this. Their trio of quarterbacks, Joe Burrow, Trevor Siemian, and Jake Browning, are all familiar with the Bengals' system and are a formidable group. Browning, in particular, has an impressive track record with 39 wins during his time at Washington U, with a completion rate of 64.6% and 94 touchdowns to only 34 interceptions. He is likely to excel in preseason games against weaker defenses. The Bengals have been running their current system for four years, and their defense has improved since Lou Anarumo took over as coordinator.


The Arizona Cardinals are undergoing significant changes with the arrival of a new head coach, Jonathan Gannon, a new offensive coordinator, Drew Petzing, and a new defensive coordinator, Nick Rallis. It's worth noting that all three coordinators have yet to have prior NFL coaching experience. Unfortunately, Kyler Murray is injured and will be unable to play for the first half of the season. As a result, the depth chart will consist of Colt McCoy, Clayton Tune, Jeff Driskel, and David Blough. During the preseason, the rookie coaching staff will exercise caution with their top quarterbacks. Furthermore, the Cardinals' defense must adapt to a new scheme. As a result, the team may face a challenging preseason.


When making NFL preseason bets, it's important to consider the team's quarterback situation and their level of continuity. The final eight minutes of a game can often make or break a bet, so choosing teams with a strong QB lineup or a history of success in the league is wise. These teams will have an advantage over opponents with weaker third or fourth-string defenses in the game's closing moments.

 

Experience


In some cases, determining the team with the most experienced players can be an excellent way to predict success. However, having older players may only sometimes be advantageous since many dislike preseason games. Additionally, some skilled players in certain positions may not put forth their total effort during preseason games because they consider them "meaningless" and already have a secure job, making them feel less motivated to showcase their talent.


When it comes to handicapping coaches and systems, experience is a crucial factor. Organizations with no significant change have an advantage over those introducing new leadership. For instance, the Pittsburgh Steelers have been running Mike Tomlin's system for 16 years, and a second year in offensive coordinator Matt Canada's scheme should improve their performance. On the other hand, teams like the Houston Texans, who are undergoing significant changes, including the appointment of a new head coach (DeMeco Ryans), a new offensive coordinator (Bobby Slowik), and a new defensive coordinator (Matt Burke), may require additional time to adapt. All three of them will be making their NFL coaching debut. Therefore, paying attention to teams with familiarity and continuity and identifying those less comfortable with their new system can give you an edge in the preseason. It cannot be emphasized enough! 


First-Year Head Coaches with new team (Full Season)


This season we have five teams with new head coaches. Although Sean Payton is not a newcomer, he will debut with a different team. New head coaches in their first year can be challenging, but they tend to do well in their first home game in August, particularly after a defeat on the road. In the past six years, they have had a good record of 6-1 ATS, 5-2 ATS, 4-1 ATS, and 6-2 ATS in 2019. However, in 2021, this trend did not prove profitable, resulting in a losing record of 2-6 ATS. Last year, they had an average record of 5-5 ATS. Overall, these coaches have had a successful history of 28-17 (62.2%) ATS over the past six preseasons. New head coaches face a lot of pressure to excel and leave a positive impression on the owner, GM, players, and fans to prove they are the right person for the job. Winning early in the preseason is a point of emphasis, but it's important to be selective and not mindlessly support all five teams in their first home game. Here are the five NFL head coaches making their debut with a new team in the upcoming season.


Jonathan Gannon  (Arizona Cardinals)

Frank Reich (Carolina Panthers)

Sean Payton  (Denver Broncos)

DeMeco Ryans  (Houston Texans)

Shane Steichen (Indianapolis Colts)


 

Competition/Philosophy


Knowing how head coaches were raised and their philosophies will give you a significant advantage this August. I will provide one HC that treats the preseason as the regular season. That would be John Harbaugh of the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are 22-1 ATS over the past six preseasons!! That is not a misprint. His 42-13 ATS (76.3%) overall record in the preseason would have made you a small fortune. On the flip side, Brandon Staley of the LA Chargers clearly despises the preseason. He uses August to scout his rookies, non-roster invites, and undrafted free agents while keeping his starters and key backups fresh. The Chargers went 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS last year. Staley is now 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS over the past two years in the preseason. Keep an eye on the New England Patriots this August. Bill Belichick has always played to win in the preseason, evident by a 10-4 (71.4%) ATS record the last four seasons. NE went 1-2 SU and 1-2 ATS last year. Bill Belichick owns a 51-37 ATS (57.9%) record in the preseason. He’s never had back-to-back losing straight-up records in the preseason with the Patriots. 


Motivation


If you are a long-time NFL fan, you may already know that not all Head Coaches prioritize winning during the NFL Preseason. Each coach has their approach and sticks to it. For instance, the examples I provided earlier still hold true for this upcoming preseason. Some coaches value the second game, while others prioritize the first or third matchup. Some coaches experiment with their lineups during the preseason to assess their younger players. However, unlike regular season football, most coaches are transparent about their game plan during the preseason. You need to do a bit of research from local beat writers. However, obtaining this information is becoming more complicated in recent years, as the preseason lines are now much sharper, thanks to the odds-makers catching on. You may notice a few preseason games where the spread is more than 6 points.

 
Scheduling


During the NFL preseason, teams and players generally have a more leisurely schedule, but there are some things to keep in mind. If a team played in the Hall of Fame Game, they might not perform as well in their next game, especially if their key players are injured. Please pay attention to the Browns and Jets to see how they fare after the Hall of Fame Game. Additionally, beware of West Coast teams who must travel to play in high humidity on the East Coast, as these teams often struggle, particularly if they are favored to win. This angle has proven successful in recent years due to stricter OTA regulations.


Jeff's NFL Preseason system to consider in 2023


Consider this if you're searching for a profitable strategy for the NFL preseason. Teams that lose by 28 or more points in their first preseason game tend to perform well in their next game (week two). This is because the public overreacts, and the betting lines become exaggerated. Over the past 11 seasons, NFL teams in this situation have had a success rate of 58.6%. Be sure to choose wisely!


Jeff's #1 NFL Preseason Team to "Play On" in 2023


New England. Last season, the Patriots had a record of 8-9 SU and 7-9-1 ATS during the regular season. Bill Belichick places great importance on preseason games, as demonstrated by his impressive 51-37 ATS (57.9%) record with the Patriots in August games. It's worth noting again that Belichick has never experienced consecutive losing preseasons (straight-up) with New England. They have a strong QB rotation consisting of Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, and Trace McSorley. Teams with fewer quarterbacks have an advantage as they get more opportunities to practice and scrimmage, resulting in improved gameplay compared to units that employ four or more QBs with limited practice reps due to splitting them up.



Jeff has a proven record of making a profit in 15 of the previous 18 NFL seasons, fully documented by The Sports Monitor of Oklahoma. He has been recognized as an 8-time NFL Top 10 Handicapper and has even won a handicapping title for both the regular season & postseason. During the 2022 NFL regular season, Jeff achieved an impressive 17-6 record (73.9%) while going 2-2 (50%) in the postseason. You can now purchase Early Bird Football season packages at my website.


Good Luck this Football Season!


Follow Jeff on Twitter @JHSPORTSLINE