FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
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TODAY'S FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
| Alex Smart | 12:00 PM Miami Ohio vs Western Michigan NCAAF 12/06 |
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| Pick: Under 43.5 As the 2025 MAC Championship Game approaches on December 6 at Ford Field in Detroit, bettors are eyeing a gritty rematch between the Miami (OH) RedHawks (7-5, 5-3 MAC) and the Western Michigan Broncos (8-4, 7-1 MAC). The over/under total holds steady at 43.5, a number that screams caution in a conference known for defensive slugfests. This low line isn't accidental ,it's a reflection of both teams' identities as run-heavy, efficiency-challenged offenses facing elite conference defenses, making the under our viable wager in this neutral-site showdown. Historical trends in the MAC Championship strongly favor the under, providing a rock-solid foundation for this pick. Since 2005, MAC title games have gone under the total in 13 of 20 instances, cashing by an average of about six points per game, with the last six straight championships all staying below the line. This pattern holds even stronger in recent years, as conference games increasingly emphasize clock control and field position over explosive plays, especially indoors at Ford Field where conservative coaching often prevails. For Miami specifically, the RedHawks have been a consistent under machine, posting a 40-28-1 record (58.8%) to the under over the past three seasons, including a 7-5 mark this year where their games averaged just 44.4 total points. Western Michigan isn't far behind, sitting at an even 6-6 over/under this season but allowing only 18.7 points per game (16th nationally) and just 14.5 in MAC play, underscoring their defensive prowess that aligns perfectly with these low-scoring trends. Diving into the matchup angles, the under's appeal starts with the defensive blueprints on both sides. Western Michigan boasts a top-35 unit in yards per play allowed and a strong pass rush (31st in PFF grade), anchored by edge rusher Nadame Tucker and his 12 sacks, which could disrupt Miami's inexperienced quarterback Thomas Gotkowski and force quick three-and-outs. Miami counters with the nation's third-best pass rush efficiency and a run defense that surrendered just 101.1 yards per game in conference, holding Western Michigan's non-QB backs to a measly 50 yards in their October 26-17 victory in a game that totaled exactly 43 points, teasing right under today's line. Both offenses rank in the 90s nationally in EPA per play, with Western Michigan leaning on a ground attack that averaged only 3.7 yards per carry against Miami earlier, while the RedHawks' +9 turnover margin in MAC games flips field position and stifles drives into field goals rather than touchdowns. Another key angle is the championship environment itself, where pressure often leads to risk-averse play-calling and fewer big plays. Western Michigan's dual-threat QB Broc Lowry (971 rushing yards, 14 TDs) is a wildcard, but Miami's linebacker Jackson Kuwatch and their top-tier front have already proven they can contain him, as evidenced by Lowry's fumble in the first meeting. With both teams' average game totals hovering around 45-46 points but dipping lower in conference clashes, and sharp money leaning under in similar low totals, this setup projects to a 23-20 or 24-17 final...well below 43.5. Neutral-site dynamics at Ford Field further suppress scoring, as the lack of home crowd energy encourages ball control over aggression. In summary, the combination of MAC historical unders, team-specific trends favoring low totals, and matchup angles highlighting defensive dominance make the under 43.5 (-110) a viable totals bet for this MAC Championship. While the spread is tempting with Miami's pedigree in title games (their third straight appearance), the real value lies in betting on a defensive war where points come at a premium. Grab the under early before any line movement, and let's cash in on this grinder. Play on the under | |
| Brian Bitler | 8:00 PM Duke vs Virginia NCAAF 12/06 |
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| Pick: Duke 4 For my best free pick on the board here for Saturday I am looking at the Duke Blue Devils vs the Virginia Cavaliers. Duke is a team that hurt me at the beginning of the season as I took some losses backing them as they lost outrite to Illinois and Tulane but this Duke team is the best 7-5 team in the nation only other team better that underperformed like them was the Clemson Tigers. Virginia beat this Duke team at Duke just last month so that should drive bettors to this Virginia team but I think Duke is better on both sides of the ball and while I do not think we will need the points ill grab them. Play on the Duke Blue Devils plus the points rotation #117 ***DO NOT MISS MY TITLE GAME OF THE YEAR TITANIUM FOR SATURDAY I AM 53-24 69% LAST 77 AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL LAST 2 SEASONS I AM 151-106 59%*** | |
| James Patrick Sports | 8:00 PM Duke vs Virginia NCAAF 12/06 |
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| Pick: Virginia -3.5 Saturday NCAA Football Complimentary Selection from James Patrick Sports Duke vs. Virginia 8:00 pm. est. Whichever team comes out on top, we'll have a first-time Atlantic Coast Conference championship game winner this weekend. No. 17 Virginia (10-2) has never won an outright ACC football title, last winning a share in 1995, a decade before the first ACC title game. Unranked Duke (7-5) has won seven ACC titles, but just one of them (1989) has come since 1962. Virginia can set a school record for wins by beating Duke, having only recorded one other 10-win season (10-3) in 1989. The Cavaliers are a balanced team, third in the ACC in total offense (433.2) yards per game and total defense (311.7). Chandler Morris (2,586) passing yards, (14) passing touchdowns, five rushing TDs and J'Mari Taylor (997) rushing yards, (14) TDs anchor the offense. It would certainly be better for the league if Virginia wins the game. The Cavaliers would comfortably be in the CFP with an automatic bid. Lot of $ on the line for each ACC school if there is a representative in the (12) team playoff. Haven’t College Sports become more about $ than anything else. Your Saturday NCAA Football Complimentary Selection from James Patrick Sports in NCAA action is a (3*) Play. #118. Take Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke in the ACC Championship Game. “Big Game James” Patrick has Pigskin Fever this Saturday with winning selections in the MAC, SEC and BIG TEN Conference Championship Games. Each game is just $20. Top play on this card is rated as (5*) Pot of Gold selection. Be there for the opening tip at 12:00 pm eastern and enjoy all the fast-paced action of NCAA College Football while you are cashing in on your investments with “Big Game James” Patrick. When you need that Big Win think James Patrick Sports. | |
| Oskeim Sports | 12:00 PM BYU vs Texas Tech NCAAF 12/06 |
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| Pick: Texas Tech -12.5 Let’s begin with the fact that Texas Tech is 19-1-1 ATS in its last 21 outright wins as a favorite. Power 5 conference title game neutral field favorites are 28-9 SU and 23-14 ATS (62.2%), including 23-0 SU and 16-7 ATS (69.6%) as double-digit favorites. That situation aligns with the Red Raiders' 21-6 ATS (77.6%) record in their last 27 games as double-digit favorites. Finally, since 1999, ranked double-digit favorites are 155-116-2 ATS (57.2%) versus ranked opponents, including 71-42-1 ATS (62.8%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average margin of +5.1 points per game. Take Texas Tech as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, December 6. | |
| Rob Vinciletti | 12:00 PM BYU vs Texas Tech NCAAF 12/06 |
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| Pick: BYU 12.5 Loaded Saturday Card has the Championship Game of the Year and 3 more CFB Top plays including 100% BIG 10. There are 2 TIER 1 Sides one in CFB and one in CBB Plus NBA. BIG 12 Comp play below. The CFB Comp play in the BIG 12 Championship game is on BYU Plus the 12-13 points here. The Cougars are in a nice 10-1 post season System that dates to 1990 and pertains to Championship dogs of more than 8 that are in off a home win, vs an opponent like Texas Tech that scored 48 or more last out and allowed 37 or less. The System is perfect when we include our road dog having road loss revenge. Texas Tech handles BYU easily at home 29-7, however they did have a +3 turnover edge on their side and while they our yarded the Cougars by over 110 yards they were held to a season low in points at home. BYU knows what to expect here and will likely be better on offense. This is a high line for two teams with an 11-1 record. Also of note is that Championship favorites off a shutout win vs a team with a .600 or better win percentage have failed to cover 7 of 8 times since 1991. BYU limits the turnovers here they should stay in this game and get a cover. Take the points with BYU. GL Rob V- SU: 4-7 ATS: 10-1 Team: 27.2 Opp: 30.7 Dec 06, 2003 - Sat 16 2003 KAST OKLA neutral - - - - 35-7 14 None 28 42 - - - W W - 0 Dec 03, 2010 - Fri 14 2010 MIAO NIL neutral 14-13 0-0 0-7 7-6 26-21 17 53.5 5 22 -6.5 7.75 -14.25 W W U 0 Dec 03, 2011 - Sat 14 2011 SMIS HOU away 7-0 14-14 21-7 7-7 49-28 13 73 21 34 4 19.0 -15.0 W W O 0 Dec 06, 2014 11:00 Sat 15 2014 FRES BOIS away 0-14 0-7 7-7 7-0 14-28 22 69 -14 8 -27 -9.5 -17.5 L W U 0 Dec 02, 2016 08:00 Fri 14 2016 OHU WMCH neutral 0-6 7-17 13-3 3-3 23-29 17 58 -6 11 -6 2.5 -8.5 L W U 0 Dec 03, 2016 09:00 Sat 14 2016 VTCH CLEM neutral 7-14 7-7 7-14 14-7 35-42 10 59 -7 3 18 10.5 7.5 L W O 0 Dec 01, 2018 - Sat 14 2018 GEO ALA neutral 7-0 14-14 7-7 0-14 28-35 11.5 63 -7 4.5 0 2.25 -2.25 L W P 0 Dec 18, 2020 08:30 Fri 16 2020 BALL BUF neutral 7-14 28-7 3-7 0-0 38-28 12.5 70.0 10 22.5 -4.0 9.25 -13.25 W W U 0 Dec 19, 2020 01:00 Sat 16 2020 NORW OHST neutral 7-3 3-3 0-7 0-9 10-22 16.5 56.5 -12 4.5 -24.5 -10.0 -14.5 L W U 0 Dec 02, 2023 12:00 Sat 14 2023 OKST TEX neutral 7-21 7-14 0-7 7-7 21-49 14 57.5 -28 -14 12.5 -0.75 13.25 L L O 0 Nov 29, 2025 10:30 Sat 14 2025 STAN NOTD home 0-14 3-21 3-7 14-7 20-49 32.5 49.5 -29 3.5 19.5 11.5 8.0 L W O 0 Dec 06, 2025 12:00 Sat 15 2025 BYU TXT neutral - - - - - 12.5 49.5 | |
| BEST NCAAF HANDICAPPERS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Top Handicappers | Profit | WCR |
| Brian Bitler | $14315.00 | 13.0 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $13462.00 | 14.9 |
| John Ryan | $7349.00 | 10.5 |
| Glen McNeil Sports | $6730.00 | 8.1 |
| Craig Patrick Sports | $6430.00 | 7.7 |
| Winning Points | $5250.00 | 12.8 |
| Mikey Sports | $4506.00 | 13.5 |
| TOP NCAAF CAPPERS PAST 7 DAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Top Handicappers | Profit | WCR |
| Joe D'Amico | $3650.00 | 62.9 |
| John Ryan | $3604.00 | 53.8 |
| Wilson Cole Sports | $3500.00 | 102.9 |
| Stephen Nover | $3000.00 | 100.0 |
| Pure Lock | $2900.00 | 58.0 |
| Glen McNeil Sports | $2700.00 | 56.3 |
| Tony Mejia | $2630.00 | 23.7 |
| TOP NCAAF CAPPERS PAST 30 DAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Top Handicappers | Profit | WCR |
| John Ryan | $5943.00 | 25.6 |
| Brian Bitler | $5786.00 | 17.7 |
| Kyle Hunter | $4870.00 | 61.6 |
| Stephen Nover | $3770.00 | 27.9 |
| Mikey Sports | $3168.00 | 29.3 |
| LPW Sports Forecast Whale | $3000.00 | 100.0 |
| EW SPORTS PICKS | $2850.00 | 40.7 |
| TOP NCAAF CAPPERS PAST 60 DAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Top Handicappers | Profit | WCR |
| Brian Bitler | $9860.00 | 14.5 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $9811.00 | 18.7 |
| Glen McNeil Sports | $6750.00 | 15.5 |
| EW SPORTS PICKS | $6300.00 | 30.0 |
| Kevin Thomas | $6261.00 | 11.6 |
| Kyle Hunter | $6160.00 | 31.0 |
| John Ryan | $5674.00 | 13.1 |
| TOP NCAAF CAPPERS PAST 90 DAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Top Handicappers | Profit | WCR |
| Brian Bitler | $12879.00 | 13.0 |
| Glen McNeil Sports | $8180.00 | 11.1 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $7152.00 | 8.7 |
| Winning Points | $6500.00 | 17.1 |
| John Ryan | $4169.00 | 6.5 |
| Mikey Sports | $3966.00 | 12.6 |
| EW SPORTS PICKS | $3700.00 | 11.9 |
