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TODAY'S FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS


  Sniper Wes
8:15 PM   Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills  
NFL   09/18  
  Pick: Over 49
  We get the hapless Dolphins here at 0-2, traveling to Buffalo who also sits at 0-2. Mike McDaniel is already on the hot seat in a big way — his team has given up exactly 33 points in both games (to the Colts in Week 1 and the Patriots in Week 2). That’s 66 points allowed through two weeks, and while they did put up 27 against New England, one of those scores came on a punt return. That means this “offensive wizard” has only produced three offensive touchdowns in two games — not a great look.
As for Buffalo, they’ve put up 71 points through two weeks, showing they can move the ball with ease. The defense, however, has cracks — remember, they gave up 40 to the Ravens in Week 1. That’s why this matchup feels like a “do or die” spot for Miami. Expect McDaniel to empty the bag here, and Tyreek Hill, who has yet to find the end zone, should be a focal point early and often.
The Bills will do their thing on offense, and Miami will have to punch back. The total is set high, but it’s high for a reason. We like the Over here in Buffalo.
 
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  Tom Macrina
1:00 PM   Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings  
NFL   09/21  
  Pick: Under 42
  Cincinnati Bengals (2-0, 1-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Vikings (1-1, 1-1 ATS)
Week 3
Sunday, September 21, 2025, 1:00 p.m. ET, CBS
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis Betting Trends Vikings: 6-2 ATS as home favorites since 2024
Bengals: 1-4 ATS in games without Joe Burrow since 2023
Game Preview
Initially projected as a clash of offensive firepower featuring LSU alumni Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Jefferson, this matchup has shifted dramatically due to injuries. With key absences on both sides, expect a gritty, low-scoring battle dominated by defenses and backup quarterbacks.
Recent Performances
Bengals: Narrowly escaped Jacksonville 31-27 in Week 2, sealed by a last-second touchdown.
Vikings: Fell 22-6 to Atlanta, plagued by offensive struggles and turnovers.
Injury Impact
Bengals: Joe Burrow (Grade 3 turf toe, Week 2) is sidelined for 3+ months. Jake Browning takes over, showing promise in relief (18/23, 213 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs last week). Browning previously kept Cincinnati competitive in 2023, narrowly missing the playoffs. The offense remains potent with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, but the defense ranks average (16th in points allowed).
Vikings: Rookie QB J.J. McCarthy (ankle sprain, Week 2) is doubtful. McCarthy struggled (under 160 yards per start, 2 INTs last week), so veteran Carson Wentz steps in. Wentz’s 2024 Rams stint showed flashes (89.1 passer rating) but inconsistency (4 INTs in 5 games). Minnesota’s defense, elite against the pass (5th in points allowed in 2024), forced 4 turnovers in Week 2 despite the loss. Justin Jefferson could exploit Cincinnati’s secondary, though Wentz’s limited mobility caps the offense’s ceiling.
Key Matchup Analysis
Minnesota’s defense thrives on confusing quarterbacks (3rd in takeaways since 2023). Browning, pressured on 22% of dropbacks, lacks Burrow’s escapability, making him vulnerable to Flores’ aggressive scheme. Conversely, Wentz benefits from Jefferson’s elite play (4th in PFF receiving grade) and a revamped offensive line but struggles with consistency. The Vikings’ superior coaching and defensive edge (5th in points allowed) should stifle Cincinnati’s attack, while the Bengals’ middling defense may bend against Jefferson.Prediction
This shapes up as a defensive slugfest, with both offenses hampered by backup QBs. Minnesota’s home-field advantage, Flores’ scheme, and Jefferson’s matchup against Cincinnati’s secondary tilt the scales. Expect a low-scoring, turnover-heavy game.
Best Bet: Under 42.5 points (-110)
Defenses dominate in a punter’s duel, with neither backup QB sustaining drives against stout pass defenses.
Let's cash some tickets!
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Methods Of Wagering With NFL Picks

Betting the NFL Point Spread

      Betting “against the spread” is the most popular way to wager on NFL football. NFL games are rarely perfect match-ups, and the spread is the sportsbook's way of leveling the playing field. In order to win a point spread bet or “cover the spread,” the favored team not only has to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points (the spread). The spread encourages equal betting on both teams, as it essentially “gives” points to the underdog. You most often find spreads with half-points attached, which is known as a “hook.” The hook avoids the possibility of a push (or tie).
      Example: Miami +5.5, Dallas -5.5
The team with the negative number next to its name is the favorite; in this case, it is Dallas (-5.5). If you bet on the Cowboys against the spread, they have to win the game by at least six points for you to win your bet. Dallas is said to be “laying” 5.5 points in these circumstances. Another way to look at it is subtracting 5.5 points from the Cowboys final score at the end of the game. If the Cowboys still have more points after subtracting 5.5, then they cover the spread. In order to cover the spread, the favored team not only needs to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points.
The Miami have a positive number next to their team name, indicating they are the underdog. They do not have to win the game outright for you to win your bet. So long as they don’t lose by more than five points, you’ll come out a winner. Obviously, you would also win your bet if the Miami won the game outright.

Betting the NFL Moneyline

      While less popular than betting the spread, the NFL moneyline is the easiest football bet to understand. When betting the moneyline, you are simply picking the team that will win the game. NFL Moneyline bets are easy to understand, but they offer a poor return on investment when betting on the favorite.
      Example: Miami +180, Dallas -250
The NFL odds attached dictate your potential payout and the sportsbook’s implied probability. Dallas remains the favorite on the moneyline, as indicated by the negative number (-250) next to the team name. But, in this case, that number means something different: a -250 moneyline tells bettors that they need to wager $250 on Dallas in order to win $100. The positive number next to the Miami (+180) gives us similar information, with one key difference. It tells bettors how much they will win on a $100 bet, in this case $180.

Betting NFL Totals (Over/Under)

      When betting the “total” on NFL games, you are no longer concerned with which team will win the game. Instead, your focus is strictly on how many points will be scored overall. You may also hear this type of bet referred to as “over-under betting.”
      Example: Miami/Dallas Over 49.5(-115) Under 49.5 (-110) Sticking with our Miami/Dallas example, the sportsbook has set the total at 49.5 points. Again, the half-point (hook) is present to prevent a push. You have two options when betting totals: over (more than 49.5 points will be scored between both teams) or under (less than 49.5 points will be scored overall).
      When betting on the “total,” The moneyline shown in parentheses next to your choice determines the payout. This is calculated just like the NFL Moneylines above. Your focus on a NFL Totals Wager is strictly on how many points will be scored overall by both NFL teams combined.