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FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS

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TODAY'S FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS


  Book Breaker
1:00 PM   New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Over 37.5
  The Patriots had an impressive preseason debut last week, as they defeated the Commanders 48-18. New head coach Mike Vrabel is aiming to turn things around in New England, and so far things are looking up. The offense looked in sync in the preseason opener, and Drake May should see a bit more snaps under center in this one.
The Vikings also won their preseason opener, defeating the Texans 20-10. J.J.McCarthy is getting back into the swing of things after missing all of last season. He has a great group of receivers at his disposal and could be in line for a strong showing in his rookie season. Both offenses have shown they can move the ball efficiently so far this season, which makes the over the play.
  Brian Bitler
7:00 PM   Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Dallas Cowboys 1.5
  For my top free pick in Saturday's NFL Preseason action, I'm eyeing the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens, already 1-0 after a convincing win over the Colts last week, are likely to draw heavy betting action, as they’re a popular preseason wager. Dak Prescott won’t suit up for Dallas, but that’s no issue. Expect the Cowboys’ second-string unit, led by a heavy dose of Joe Milton, to see extended playing time compared to Baltimore’s top reserves. This sets up Dallas to keep the game close or pull off the upset.
 
**Play: Dallas Cowboys (+points)**
 
***Don’t miss my Titanium Best Bet in the NFL Preseason—I’m primed for a major hot streak!***
  David Delano
7:00 PM   Tampa Bay Bucs vs Pittsburgh Steelers  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers 125
  The Steelers are undervalued at home here. Tomlin has won 64.7% of his Week 2 preseason games all-time (64.7%) while Bowles is just 2-5 (28.6%) this week, his worst preseason week.
Steelers looked strong in opener, and QB group is underrated for this part of the year.
  Joe D'Amico
1:00 PM   Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Indianapolis Colts -6
  WOWEEE!!! Today in NFL action we CRUSH THE BOOLKS with 5 BIG WINNERS: 2-0 TOUCHDOWN, ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, BATTLE FOR NY, SMART MONEY PLAY, and my coveted, LATE BAILOUT. I also have 2 BIG MLB WINNERS: (6-1 L7) HOME RUN & 11-5 DOUBLE PLAY.
 
Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Indianapolis Colts.
Game 406.
10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.
 
I am aware this is a big pointspread. I am also aware neither team looked particularly good last week in their preseason openers. But for several seasons, the Colts have put forth more of an effort in August than the Packers. There's also a quarterback competition going on in Indianapolis, and I feel anyone who is under center is going to put up solid numbers here today. The Colts also possess quite a few solid names at key positions on offense. I feel you're going to see this team come out here and light up the scoreboard. Indy isn’t touted to be as successful this season as GB expected to be. They must get some momentum going into the regular season. Take the Indianapolis. Thank you.
  John Ryan
1:00 PM   Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Carolina Panthers 2.5
  Panthers vs Texans
7-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 38.5 points
The following NFLX betting algorithm, has produced a 34-15 OVER record good for 69.4% winning bets. The required criteria are:
It is week 2 of the preseason.
One of the teams (Panthers) is coming off a double digit loss in which they were priced as the favorite.
Live Betting Strategy:  Consider betting 5 units preflop and then look to add 2 units at 35.5 points during the first half of action.
 
 
 
 
  Sniper Wes
4:05 PM   San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Las Vegas Raiders -4.5
  San Francisco lost to the Broncos last week. Now they head to Allegiant to face the Raiders - The Niners lost 30-9 to the Broncos, and their QB play was terrible, Mac Jones, Carter Bradley, and Tanner Mordecai, didn’t throw for a single touchdown, but all of them were intercepted once. In total, these guys combined for 107 passing yards - Raiders in off the 23-23 tie to the Seahawks - Aidan O’Connell threw for 205 yards for a touchdown and two picks. His top target was Shedrick Jackson, who had 4 receptions for 76 yards and a touchdown - Very sloppy play from both teams QB's honestly - Likely no Brock Purdy here - Geno Smith is expected to play "quite a bit" in their preseason game against the San Francisco 49ers, according to FantasyPros - How do you not bet Vegas here? Niners defense was terrible, their offense was terrible, we get Geno playing for maybe a quarter - Like the Raiders here
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  Tom Macrina
1:00 PM   New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings  
NFL   08/16  
  Pick: Minnesota Vikings 2.5
   
Both teams enter with momentum, but each has distinct strengths and vulnerabilities. The Patriots' offense, led by Drake Maye and TreVeyon Henderson, showed explosive potential, though their offensive line struggled in joint practices, exposing weaknesses the Vikings could exploit. New England's defense has been solid, but their secondary raises concerns against a pass-heavy opponent. The Vikings, meanwhile, leaned on a concise short-to-intermediate passing game, with their receiving corps likely to see heavy targets due to injuries and suspensions thinning their depth. Minnesota's defense was inconsistent, generating two turnovers but surrendering two big plays in coverage. Given these dynamics, I favor the Vikings as the home underdog. Let's cash some tickets!
BEST NFL HANDICAPPERS
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  Sean Murphy$3920.0061.3  
  Damian Sosh$3230.0035.9  
  Rob Vinciletti$2950.0073.8  
  James Patrick Sports$1965.0065.5  
  C-Stars Sports$1850.0046.3  
  Kevin Thomas$1600.0020.5  
  Stephen Nover$1560.0065.0  

TOP NFL CAPPERS PAST 7 DAYS
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  Rob Vinciletti$1450.0058.0  
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  LPW Sports Forecast$870.0029.0  
  James Patrick Sports$865.0045.5  
  C-Stars Sports$850.0028.3  
  Kevin Thomas$800.0016.3  

TOP NFL CAPPERS PAST 30 DAYS
    Top HandicappersProfitWCR
  Sean Murphy$3920.0061.3  
  Damian Sosh$3230.0035.9  
  Rob Vinciletti$2950.0073.8  
  James Patrick Sports$1965.0065.5  
  C-Stars Sports$1850.0046.3  
  John Ryan$1760.0037.4  
  Kevin Thomas$1600.0020.5  

TOP NFL CAPPERS PAST 60 DAYS
    Top HandicappersProfitWCR
  Sean Murphy$3920.0061.3  
  Damian Sosh$3230.0035.9  
  Rob Vinciletti$2950.0073.8  
  James Patrick Sports$1965.0065.5  
  C-Stars Sports$1850.0046.3  
  John Ryan$1760.0037.4  
  Kevin Thomas$1600.0020.5  

TOP NFL CAPPERS PAST 90 DAYS
    Top HandicappersProfitWCR
  Sean Murphy$3920.0061.3  
  Damian Sosh$3230.0035.9  
  Rob Vinciletti$2950.0073.8  
  James Patrick Sports$1965.0065.5  
  C-Stars Sports$1850.0046.3  
  John Ryan$1760.0037.4  
  Kevin Thomas$1600.0020.5  

Methods Of Wagering With NFL Picks

Betting the NFL Point Spread

      Betting “against the spread” is the most popular way to wager on NFL football. NFL games are rarely perfect match-ups, and the spread is the sportsbook's way of leveling the playing field. In order to win a point spread bet or “cover the spread,” the favored team not only has to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points (the spread). The spread encourages equal betting on both teams, as it essentially “gives” points to the underdog. You most often find spreads with half-points attached, which is known as a “hook.” The hook avoids the possibility of a push (or tie).
      Example: Miami +5.5, Dallas -5.5
The team with the negative number next to its name is the favorite; in this case, it is Dallas (-5.5). If you bet on the Cowboys against the spread, they have to win the game by at least six points for you to win your bet. Dallas is said to be “laying” 5.5 points in these circumstances. Another way to look at it is subtracting 5.5 points from the Cowboys final score at the end of the game. If the Cowboys still have more points after subtracting 5.5, then they cover the spread. In order to cover the spread, the favored team not only needs to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points.
The Miami have a positive number next to their team name, indicating they are the underdog. They do not have to win the game outright for you to win your bet. So long as they don’t lose by more than five points, you’ll come out a winner. Obviously, you would also win your bet if the Miami won the game outright.

Betting the NFL Moneyline

      While less popular than betting the spread, the NFL moneyline is the easiest football bet to understand. When betting the moneyline, you are simply picking the team that will win the game. NFL Moneyline bets are easy to understand, but they offer a poor return on investment when betting on the favorite.
      Example: Miami +180, Dallas -250
The NFL odds attached dictate your potential payout and the sportsbook’s implied probability. Dallas remains the favorite on the moneyline, as indicated by the negative number (-250) next to the team name. But, in this case, that number means something different: a -250 moneyline tells bettors that they need to wager $250 on Dallas in order to win $100. The positive number next to the Miami (+180) gives us similar information, with one key difference. It tells bettors how much they will win on a $100 bet, in this case $180.

Betting NFL Totals (Over/Under)

      When betting the “total” on NFL games, you are no longer concerned with which team will win the game. Instead, your focus is strictly on how many points will be scored overall. You may also hear this type of bet referred to as “over-under betting.”
      Example: Miami/Dallas Over 49.5(-115) Under 49.5 (-110) Sticking with our Miami/Dallas example, the sportsbook has set the total at 49.5 points. Again, the half-point (hook) is present to prevent a push. You have two options when betting totals: over (more than 49.5 points will be scored between both teams) or under (less than 49.5 points will be scored overall).
      When betting on the “total,” The moneyline shown in parentheses next to your choice determines the payout. This is calculated just like the NFL Moneylines above. Your focus on a NFL Totals Wager is strictly on how many points will be scored overall by both NFL teams combined.