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FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS

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TODAY'S FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS


  John Ryan
1:05 PM   Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: New York Giants 3.5
  Cowboys vs Giants 
1 EST, Sunday 
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 3-point home underdogs. 
I am lacking confidence that the Giants QB will play the whole game, so be sure to check the latest news between now and kickoff. I have heard just one quarter and even one series, but if it is unknown at kickoff, don’t bet more than 3 units. Still, the betting system supporting the opportunity has produced exceptional results over many seasons.  
The following NFL betting algorithm has compiled an outstanding 21-23 SU, and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets since 1990 or 35 seasons of action. 
The game occurs over the past 4 weeks of the regular season. 
Bet on home underdogs that won five or fewer games in their previous season. 
They have won no more than 33% of their games this season. 
The opponent allows more rushing yards per attempt than they have gained. 
 
 
  Marc David
1:05 PM   Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: New York Giants 3.5
  David's NFL Free Pick
We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced given although Dallas has won more games, the Giants are the ones with a better record against the spread. With the Cowboys 2-7 against the spread as favorites, this looks like a great set up for more disappointment for "America's Team".  
This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the GIANTS. 
  Sniper Wes
1:05 PM   Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Houston Texans -10.5
  The Texans are hitting their stride at the right time and could clinch the AFC South with a win combined with a Jaguars loss to the Titans - unlikely, but expect an all-out effort from Houston. CJ Stroud struggled last week against the Chargers with two interceptions, and while it’s been a down year for him, he’s still competing hard. Houston boasts arguably the league’s best defense, allowing just 16.6 yards per play, a daunting challenge for Riley Leonard of the Colts, who is making his first career start and has completed 18 of 33 passes for 145 yards with two interceptions. With nothing to play for, it’s tough to see the Colts finding success against this dominant Houston front.
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  Brian Bitler
1:05 PM   New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Atlanta Falcons -3.5
  For my best free pick on the board here for Sunday in NFL action I am looking at the Atlanta Falcons hosting the New Orleans Saints. Saints big time public dog in my opinion as the masses have seen a big improved play from this Saints crew and their is no doubt about that but at home to end the season its never easy to go into Atlanta and win a game and this team should be fired up here and so will Kirk Cousins as he tries to show the rest of the NFL he is still a starting QB. Atlanta 3 straight wins 3 straight covers add another one to their cover sheet here on Sunday. 
 
Play on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points rotation #358 
 
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  Oskeim Sports
1:05 PM   Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5
  Cleveland is coming off a 13-6 win over the Steelers, which is significant because the Browns are 5-22 SU and 4-23 ATS (14.8%) following a game in which they allowed fourteen points or less, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -8.9 points per game.  The Browns’ victory is also notable because NFL teams coming off an upset win as divisional home underdogs are 169-230-9 ATS (42.4%.  Let’s also note that Cleveland head coach Kevin Stefanski is 7-22 SU and 6-21-2 ATS (22.2%) following as win, including 0-7 SU and ATS since December 29, 2023.  Finally, .490 or worse NFL favorites coming off a win are 80-57-5 ATS (58.4%) from Week 14 out, including 30-17-3 ATS (63.8%) since 2018.  Take Cincinnati as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, January 4.
  Rob Vinciletti
1:05 PM   New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: New Orleans Saints 3.5
  BIG Sunday card up with our Final Game Side of the Year, 2X Perfect SNF, 2 Top Totals and Hoops. Comp play below.
The NFL Comp play at 1 eastern is on the New Orleans Saints. The Falcons are in a nasty last game of the season system that plays against home favorites off a home dog win in divisional games. These teams have failed to cover all 7 times since 1990. These games are usually very tight. Atlanta is off a massive upset win over the Rams on Monday night and could bounce a bit here. The Saints on the other hand are playing hard and have won and covered 4 straight. We will take the points here with New Orleans. GL RV
  Chip Chirimbes
1:05 PM   Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Minnesota Vikings -10.5
  Chip’s Triple-Play of NFL Best Bets
Chip Chirimbes, the Las Vegas Hilton and Stardust Champion, went 6-3 last week in NFL action and today has a ‘Guaranteed’ Triple-Play of NFL Best Bet winners. Receive Chip’s Highest-rated Megabucks winner between Detroit and Chicago, his Money Game winner between Dallas and the New York Giants and his Power Play winner between New Orleans and Atlanta. Get it ALL for just $99.
 
Chip’s FREE NFL Winner
Green Bay at Minnesota 1:00 ET
Vikings (-) over Packers - Minnesota is making a decent meaningless run having won the last four as the Packers are losing their last three. The Packers are locked in playoff position (#7) and motivation could be questioned as reflected in the Vikings being over a TD favorite. The Packers QB’s Love and Willis are hurting and Layton Tune (?) will start. Take MINNESOTA!
  James Patrick Sports
4:25 PM   Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Over 46
  Saturday NFL Complimentary Selection from James Patrick
Cardinals vs. Rams  4:25 pm. est.
Arizona Cardinals HC Jonathan Gannon’s second season went much better than his first as the Cardinals doubled their wins from four to eight. This team was very competitive until injuries came about to cause a series of tough one score losses. The Rams are still a young roster, and they had (16) rookies on their roster last season. HC McVay and a quality coaching staff can get this team to keep playing beyond their years, as happened last season and that creates great optimism. QB Matthew Stafford is right in the mix for league MVP. Look for the Rams to let him pad his stats and put up some huge offensive numbers to help seal that deal. Your Saturday NFL Complimentary Selection from James Patrick is a (3*) Play in Sunday action on #359. Take Arizona – Los Angeles Over the Total. There is other Saturday action in the NFL and Big Game James Patrick has all the action covered for just $20. Be there in the huddle when the Big Man calls out this play as your wealth depends on it. Enjoy all the fast-paced action of the NFL with the Big Man as the Panthers travel to “Cigar City” to tackle the Buccaneers at 4:30 p.m. est. and The Seahawks and Forty-Niners at 8:00 pm. est. All the action can be seen on ESPN . Cash in on your investments with Big Game James Patrick and make the move from a recreational bettor to a serious investor as your wealth depends on it. Good Luck!
  David Delano
4:25 PM   New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Buffalo Bills -5.5
  The Bills want this win to avoid the No. 7 seed, but staying healthy is the bigger priority. I like Buffalo to jump out fast, so I’m targeting the first half. Josh Allen will be motivated to keep his starting streak alive, so expect a strong early effort. Let’s take the backdoor cover out of play here and ride with Buffalo in the first half.
  Mike Lundin
4:25 PM   Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Detroit Lions 3.5
  Lions vs Bears NFL Free Pick
The Angle: Though eliminated from playoffs, the Detroit Lions still have pride on stake in this divisional matchup against the Chicago Bears, who are locked into the NFC North title but playing for seeding. After dropping back-to-back games as favorites, I think the Lions will now thrive as no-pressure underdogs.
The Bet: LIONS (1%). 
  Doug Upstone
8:22 PM   Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers  
NFL   01/04  
  Pick: Under 41.5
  Free Play – Take UNDER 41.5 #349-50 Baltimore vs Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, Jan. 4)
 
With Lamar Jackson again questionable to play to begin the week and D.K. Metcalf definitely out on suspension, that might be partially why the total slid from 43 to 41 in this winner-takes-all battle for the NFC North. Nonetheless, that’s not the only reason, because with Metcalf and fellow receiver Calvin Austin III out last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers had few pass catchers getting open at Cleveland in totaling six points. Next, include these rivals are on an 8-2 UNDER in a historically low-scoring series, the line movement seems on point.  Update: Despite the news Lamar said he’s playing, the total sunk another half point to 40.5 before lifting to 41.5 today. This figures to be another defensive battle. If Pittsburgh slows Derrick Henry, the cold will limit both pass offenses.
 
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Methods Of Wagering With NFL Picks

Betting the NFL Point Spread

      Betting “against the spread” is the most popular way to wager on NFL football. NFL games are rarely perfect match-ups, and the spread is the sportsbook's way of leveling the playing field. In order to win a point spread bet or “cover the spread,” the favored team not only has to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points (the spread). The spread encourages equal betting on both teams, as it essentially “gives” points to the underdog. You most often find spreads with half-points attached, which is known as a “hook.” The hook avoids the possibility of a push (or tie).
      Example: Miami +5.5, Dallas -5.5
The team with the negative number next to its name is the favorite; in this case, it is Dallas (-5.5). If you bet on the Cowboys against the spread, they have to win the game by at least six points for you to win your bet. Dallas is said to be “laying” 5.5 points in these circumstances. Another way to look at it is subtracting 5.5 points from the Cowboys final score at the end of the game. If the Cowboys still have more points after subtracting 5.5, then they cover the spread. In order to cover the spread, the favored team not only needs to win the game – they must do so by a specified number of points.
The Miami have a positive number next to their team name, indicating they are the underdog. They do not have to win the game outright for you to win your bet. So long as they don’t lose by more than five points, you’ll come out a winner. Obviously, you would also win your bet if the Miami won the game outright.

Betting the NFL Moneyline

      While less popular than betting the spread, the NFL moneyline is the easiest football bet to understand. When betting the moneyline, you are simply picking the team that will win the game. NFL Moneyline bets are easy to understand, but they offer a poor return on investment when betting on the favorite.
      Example: Miami +180, Dallas -250
The NFL odds attached dictate your potential payout and the sportsbook’s implied probability. Dallas remains the favorite on the moneyline, as indicated by the negative number (-250) next to the team name. But, in this case, that number means something different: a -250 moneyline tells bettors that they need to wager $250 on Dallas in order to win $100. The positive number next to the Miami (+180) gives us similar information, with one key difference. It tells bettors how much they will win on a $100 bet, in this case $180.

Betting NFL Totals (Over/Under)

      When betting the “total” on NFL games, you are no longer concerned with which team will win the game. Instead, your focus is strictly on how many points will be scored overall. You may also hear this type of bet referred to as “over-under betting.”
      Example: Miami/Dallas Over 49.5(-115) Under 49.5 (-110) Sticking with our Miami/Dallas example, the sportsbook has set the total at 49.5 points. Again, the half-point (hook) is present to prevent a push. You have two options when betting totals: over (more than 49.5 points will be scored between both teams) or under (less than 49.5 points will be scored overall).
      When betting on the “total,” The moneyline shown in parentheses next to your choice determines the payout. This is calculated just like the NFL Moneylines above. Your focus on a NFL Totals Wager is strictly on how many points will be scored overall by both NFL teams combined.